Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:20:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb9c1…1411 crypto 140 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$39 (-4%) realized −$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate80%112W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day19.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$47
14 days−$46
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -5.5% -14.5% 81% 19% -13.9%
≤30d 140 -6.0% -14.9% 80% 19% -13.7%
≤90d 140 -6.0% -14.9% 80% 19% -13.7%
all 140 -6.0% -14.9% 80% 19% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 19% -13.7%
10% -23.1% 13% -22.0%
15% -30.5% 6% -29.5%
20% -37.3% 6% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses112 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)140 / 140
History coverage10d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 140 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $24 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 306 history records