Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:42:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9ce…29f0
crypto · 16 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$91 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$97
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses4 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)15 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97
7 days−$97
14 days−$97
30 days−$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 43¢ 56¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$14 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$21 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$20 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $14 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $52 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $27 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-54.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -49.3% -54.1% 27% 27% -42.2%
≤30d 15 -49.3% -54.1% 27% 27% -42.2%
≤90d 15 -49.3% -54.1% 27% 27% -42.2%
all 15 -49.3% -54.1% 27% 27% -42.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.1% 27% -42.2%
10% ← realistic here -58.5% 20% -47.8%
15% -62.5% 13% -52.8%
20% -66.2% 7% -57.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.92 · official $25.92 (match) · 53 history records