Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:32:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb9d0…c737 crypto 1157 markets active 2h ago coverage 36d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$127 (-1%) realized −$127 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate60%690W / 467L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day72.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$149
14 days−$137
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$343
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 255 -11.5% -19.9% 49% 44% -12.5%
≤30d 543 -7.5% -16.3% 54% 47% -11.2%
≤90d 1157 -2.5% -11.8% 60% 33% -11.9%
all 1157 -2.5% -11.8% 60% 33% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 33% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 24% -20.4%
15% -27.9% 16% -28.0%
20% -35.0% 11% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses690 / 467
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1157 / 1157
History coverage36d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day72.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1157 Trades
no open positions (128 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$14 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$14 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$19 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $17 +$13 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$18 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$19 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$12 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$15 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $23 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $22 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$10 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$5 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$8 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $18 −$11 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$12 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $17 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $27 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $22 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $28 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2890 history records