trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 100% | 29% | -0.2% |
| all | 21 | +7.4% | -2.8% | 100% | 24% | +1.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.8% | 24% | +1.2% |
| 10% | -12.1% | 14% | -8.5% |
| 15% | -20.6% | 10% | -17.3% |
| 20% | -28.4% | 0% | -25.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $72 | $72 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Les Wexner charged by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $47 | $47 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? | Jun 02 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | Jun 02 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | May 25 | $245 | +$84 | +34% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $207 | +$38 | +18% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 23 | $207 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Apr 08 | $207 | $0 | +0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericks | Apr 01 | $206 | $0 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Feb 28 | $1,534 | +$571 | +37% |
| Wizards vs. Hawks | Feb 27 | $1,533 | +$2 | +0% |
| LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Feb 19 | $456 | +$51 | +11% |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | Feb 16 | $1,008 | +$474 | +47% |
| Will Send Help be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | Feb 15 | $1,007 | +$1 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 12 | $976 | +$30 | +3% |
| Will MrBeast hit 109 billion views by January 31? | Feb 01 | $975 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 5 above $3.00? | Jan 10 | $974 | +$1 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $62 | +$1 | +2% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 02 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $118 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $217 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $426 | +$1 | +0% |