Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9d2…fb68
other · 136 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$476 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$329 · open −$221
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$410
Realized−$329
Unrealized−$221
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses48 / 218
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions52
Markets (closed)266 / 136
History coverage15d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day228.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 52 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$520
7 days−$434
14 days−$337
30 days−$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $45 +$15 (+50%)
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $25 +$8 (+50%)
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $23 +$8 (+50%)
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $13 $20 +$7 (+50%)
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $16 +$5 (+50%)
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $29 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $29 $14 −$14 (-50%)
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $28 $14 −$14 (-50%)
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $14 $7 −$7 (-50%)
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $14 $7 −$7 (-50%)
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $14 $7 −$7 (-50%)
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $12 $6 −$6 (-50%)
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $12 $6 −$6 (-50%)
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+50%)
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $6 −$6 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian pre Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -56%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial Jun 12 $0 +$1 +35456%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Elect Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$16 +8135%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +231%
Will Kim Wan-seop win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial electio Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Kweon Seong-dong win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial elec Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial Jun 12 $1 −$1 -102%
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidentia Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi Jun 12 $0 +$1 +381%
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presiden Jun 12 $7 −$6 -86%
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Kang Min-gu win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 12 $30 −$29 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$4 -61%
Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Jun 12 $1 $0 -31%
Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -88%
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Solana reach $120 in May? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial el Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Cont Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 52% −$161
tech 13% +$3
other 12% +$29
crypto 8% +$81
economics 8% −$2
world 7% +$26
sports 0% $0
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 -24.6% -31.8% 13% 13% -52.9%
≤30d 266 -10.9% -19.4% 18% 18% -37.4%
≤90d 266 -10.9% -19.4% 18% 18% -37.4%
all 266 -10.9% -19.4% 18% 18% -37.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover228.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 18% -37.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 17% -43.4%
15% -34.2% 17% -48.9%
20% -40.6% 16% -53.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $409.93 · official $409.92 (match) · 3500 history records