Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:58:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B9 0xb9e4…e41a crypto 1777 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,736 (-10%) realized −$1,736 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate68%1286W / 595L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day94.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$180
7 days−$212
14 days−$226
30 days−$279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 -34.3% -40.6% 46% 27% -15.3%
≤30d 1881 -6.4% -15.3% 68% 34% -10.9%
≤90d 1881 -6.4% -15.3% 68% 34% -10.9%
all 1881 -6.4% -15.3% 68% 34% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 34% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 7% -19.4%
15% -30.8% 2% -27.2%
20% -37.6% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,736
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1286 / 595
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1881 / 1777
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day94.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1881 Trades
no open positions (178 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records