Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9f0…c73a
other · 52 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses24 / 27
Open positions1
Markets (closed)51 / 52
History coverage466d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 1 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 75¢ 75¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 13 $34 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 13 $37 +$1 +2%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $33 +$1 +2%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $37 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $58 $0 +1%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 09 $36 $0 +0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 06 $35 +$2 +5%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? Jun 27 $2 −$1 -87%
Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? Jun 26 $8 $0 +3%
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jun 26 $4 −$3 -78%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $130 in May? May 25 $8 $0 +0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? May 24 $10 $0 +0%
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament? May 21 $5 $0 +2%
Will Momo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025? May 21 $3 $0 +2%
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 May 20 $13 $0 +0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship May 20 $13 $0 +0%
Will Pierre Gasly finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? May 19 $13 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? May 19 $12 $0 +0%
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? May 18 $1 $0 +2%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? May 16 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? May 15 $12 $0 -0%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy? May 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? May 11 $12 $0 -0%
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? May 10 $12 $0 -1%
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the May 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 ele May 09 $12 $0 -0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec May 09 $12 $0 -0%
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th May 08 $12 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? May 08 $12 $0 +0%
Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Ci May 07 $12 $0 +0%
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League? May 07 $12 $0 +0%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files? May 06 $12 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president May 06 $12 $0 +3%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? Apr 24 $19 $0 +2%
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? Apr 16 $13 $0 +0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? Apr 12 $17 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? Apr 11 $16 $0 -0%
Will TikTok be banned again before May? Apr 10 $17 $0 +0%
Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian ele Apr 10 $16 $0 +0%
Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March? Apr 09 $16 $0 +0%
Will Tony Finau win The 2025 Masters? Apr 08 $16 $0 +0%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Apr 08 $16 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? Apr 07 $16 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? Apr 06 $16 $0 +0%
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Apr 03 $8 −$1 -18%
Will Solana dip to $110 in March? Mar 31 $9 +$1 +7%
Will Trump say "the blacks" by March 28? Mar 30 $18 $0 +2%
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or Mar 21 $15 +$3 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 38% −$1
world 30% +$2
politics 18% +$4
crypto 6% +$1
tech 5% $0
sports 2% $0
economics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY No 75¢ $38 1h
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $34 5h
Netanyahu out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $34 9h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 48¢ $4 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 48¢ $34 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 47¢ $37 17h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 36¢ $12 21h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $5 22h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $6 22h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 65¢ $23 28h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 65¢ $14 28h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 65¢ $27 33h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 65¢ $10 33h
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $2 2d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 45¢ $39 3d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 45¢ $39 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 73¢ $5 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 73¢ $31 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY No 73¢ $27 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY No 73¢ $9 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $2 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 66¢ $22 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 66¢ $22 4d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 47¢ $19 5d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 46¢ $9 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 46¢ $9 6d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL No 59¢ $37 7d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY No 56¢ $35 7d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 351d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 351d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.6% -9.0% 43% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 8 +1.2% -8.5% 50% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 8 +1.2% -8.5% 50% 0% -8.3%
all 51 -2.6% -11.9% 47% 2% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 2% -9.2%
10% -20.3% 0% -17.9%
15% -28.0% 0% -25.8%
20% -35.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.25 · official $38.25 (match) · 130 history records