trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +53.1% | +38.5% | 20% | 20% | -42.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +53.1% | +38.5% | 20% | 20% | -42.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +16.2% | +5.1% | 35% | 24% | -25.6% |
| all | 17 | +16.2% | +5.1% | 35% | 24% | -25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.1% | 24% | -25.6% |
| 10% | -4.9% | 6% | -32.7% |
| 15% | -14.1% | 6% | -39.2% |
| 20% | -22.5% | 6% | -45.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-17%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 59¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 48¢ | 46¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | +$11 | +1116% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$21 | -98% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 14 | $16 | $0 | -1% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Jun 14 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 11 | $13 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $26 | +$4 | +16% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | May 14 | $17 | +$3 | +15% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | May 12 | $57 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 11 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | May 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 09 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |