Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:36:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9fa…5421
crypto · 752 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$440 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$440 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$440
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses388 / 364
Open positions0
Markets (closed)752 / 752
History coverage33d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day38.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 752 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$191
14 days−$275
30 days−$295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$440
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -15.3% -23.4% 50% 43% -19.4%
≤30d 497 -11.0% -19.5% 57% 53% -19.6%
≤90d 752 -12.7% -21.0% 52% 49% -20.6%
all 752 -12.7% -21.0% 52% 49% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 49% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 41% -28.2%
15% -35.5% 33% -35.1%
20% -41.8% 22% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1749 history records