Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9fd…5c4f
weather · 344 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,544 -97%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,123 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$1,123
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses166 / 649
Open positions6
Markets (closed)815 / 344
History coverage11d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 815 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,642
7 days−$1,255
14 days−$1,123
30 days−$1,123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? No 95¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 14? No 98¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 13? No 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June 13? No 86¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+17%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 13? No 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? No 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10? No 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 10? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ap Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -202%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$7 -201%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -202%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$198
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $9 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $8 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 4h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 4h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 4h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $21 4h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 4h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 5h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $10 5h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-64.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 776 -66.6% -69.8% 17% 14% -44.3%
≤30d 815 -61.2% -64.9% 20% 18% -37.5%
≤90d 815 -61.2% -64.9% 20% 18% -37.5%
all 815 -61.2% -64.9% 20% 18% -37.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -64.9% 18% -37.5%
10% ← realistic here -68.3% 18% -43.5%
15% -71.4% 18% -48.9%
20% -74.2% 15% -53.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.41 · official $39.88 (match) · 3500 history records