Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T17:05:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BA 0xba01…5c6f crypto 331 markets active 2h ago coverage 68d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$63 (+1%) realized +$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%324W / 7L
Drawdown66%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day4.9pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$97now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$8
14 days+$32
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 81% +$57
other 10% −$7
finance 9% +$7
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -0.7% -10.2% 98% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 168 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 331 -0.0% -9.6% 98% 0% -8.7%
all 331 -0.0% -9.6% 98% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -8.7%
10% -18.2% 0% -17.4%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.4%
20% -33.4% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$11 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.73 per $1 lost it wins $1.73
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$97
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses324 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)331 / 331
History coverage68d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 331 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? Jun 19 $19 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $17 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? Jun 19 $30 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $16 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $37 +$2 +6%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 99¢ $17 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? BUY No 94¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? BUY No 98¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $16 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $97.00 · official $97.00 (match) · 1728 history records