Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:04:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba01…8535
crypto · 633 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,335 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,609 · open −$296
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,503
Realized+$2,609
Unrealized−$296
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses209 / 406
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions21
Markets (closed)615 / 633
History coverage1d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day2686.3
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 21 History 615 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,609
7 days+$2,609
14 days+$2,609
30 days+$2,609
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 76¢ 84¢ $1,575 $1,723 +$148 (+9%)
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Up 88¢ 94¢ $452 $487 +$35 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 68¢ 72¢ $339 $361 +$22 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Up 88¢ 83¢ $353 $334 −$19 (-6%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Up 84¢ 90¢ $255 $276 +$21 (+8%)
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Up 76¢ 90¢ $194 $230 +$36 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 33¢ 16¢ $385 $192 −$193 (-50%)
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $38 $186 +$147 (+382%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 80¢ 96¢ $123 $146 +$24 (+19%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 82¢ 98¢ $111 $133 +$22 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 70¢ 68¢ $105 $101 −$4 (-4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 67¢ 66¢ $67 $66 −$1 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $24 $50 +$26 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $37 $45 +$8 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $43 $43 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Down 26¢ 17¢ $66 $43 −$24 (-36%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Down 32¢ 10¢ $96 $29 −$68 (-70%)
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Down 22¢ 6¢ $70 $18 −$53 (-75%)
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Down 29¢ 10¢ $34 $11 −$23 (-67%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 58¢ 86¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+47%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 20¢ 57¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+185%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 46¢ 43¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 24¢ 2¢ $33 $3 −$30 (-90%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 1¢ 4¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+350%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 7¢ 20¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+179%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$45 +426%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$18 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $232 +$54 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$27 +116%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $417 +$42 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $247 −$45 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $699 −$20 -3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$43 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $239 +$60 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $107 +$61 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$4 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$18 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$10 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$4 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$21 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$1,987
other 7% +$326
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $35 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $34 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $13 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 20m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 92¢ $21 21m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 92¢ $102 21m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 92¢ $96 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $36 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $31 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $35 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $70 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $51 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $31 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $71 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 86¢ $172 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $13 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 615 +5.5% -4.5% 34% 28% -4.5%
≤30d 615 +5.5% -4.5% 34% 28% -4.5%
≤90d 615 +5.5% -4.5% 34% 28% -4.5%
all 615 +5.5% -4.5% 34% 28% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2686.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 28% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 25% -13.7%
15% -22.0% 21% -22.0%
20% -29.7% 18% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,502.94 · official $4,502.95 (match) · 3500 history records