Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba08…528f
crypto · 1352 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$352 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$352 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$352
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses59 / 1294
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1353 / 1352
History coverage16d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day52.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1353 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$451
7 days+$589
14 days+$653
30 days+$352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 86¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$25 -4325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $540 +$471 +87%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$10 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$16 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$9 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $97 +$208 +215%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$19 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $61 +$100 +164%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$13 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$5 -82%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$28 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $23 −$21 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$17 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$378
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -7.8% -16.6% 44% 44% +40.0%
≤30d 1353 +0.1% -9.4% 4% 4% -9.1%
≤90d 1353 +0.1% -9.4% 4% 4% -9.1%
all 1353 +0.1% -9.4% 4% 4% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 4% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 3% -17.8%
15% -26.0% 2% -25.7%
20% -33.3% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records