Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba0b…1582
crypto · 1587 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$612 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$612 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$612
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses551 / 976
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1527 / 1587
Avg bet$3
Trades / day63.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1527 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$208
7 days−$148
14 days−$148
30 days−$193
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +852%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$424
weather 4% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 542 -3.0% -12.2% 44% 37% -26.8%
≤30d 722 -3.5% -12.7% 40% 35% -25.8%
≤90d 1527 -10.8% -19.3% 36% 31% -24.1%
all 1527 -10.8% -19.3% 36% 31% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 31% -24.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 14% -31.4%
15% -34.1% 9% -38.0%
20% -40.5% 8% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records