Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:06:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba0b…a926
crypto · 479 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,391 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,040 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$158
Realized−$14,040
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses296 / 399
Open positions0
Markets (closed)695 / 479
History coverage8d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day377.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 695 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,242
7 days−$13,635
14 days−$14,040
30 days−$14,040
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $117 $158 +$41 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $111 −$111 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $138 −$138 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $113 −$113 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $146 −$146 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $218 −$218 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $113 −$113 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $88 −$88 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $155 −$155 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$680
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $13 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $14 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $13 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-41.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 618 -39.1% -44.9% 41% 35% -42.6%
≤30d 695 -35.3% -41.4% 43% 36% -39.0%
≤90d 695 -35.3% -41.4% 43% 36% -39.0%
all 695 -35.3% -41.4% 43% 36% -39.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover377.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.4% 36% -39.0%
10% ← realistic here -47.0% 24% -44.8%
15% -52.2% 12% -50.2%
20% -56.8% 6% -55.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $157.78 · official $157.78 (match) · 3500 history records