Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:19:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BA 0xba26…d913 crypto 1279 markets active 6d ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (108 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$250 (-2%) realized −$250 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +52% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +17% what you keep after slip
Net edge+17%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate52%667W / 626L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day108.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$72
14 days−$88
30 days−$401
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$633
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (108 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 +171.9% +146.0% 28% 28% -49.4%
≤30d 952 +75.8% +59.1% 53% 52% -14.7%
≤90d 1293 +52.0% +37.5% 52% 50% -16.8%
all 1293 +52.0% +37.5% 52% 50% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover108.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +37.5% 50% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here +24.3% 47% -24.7%
15% +12.3% 45% -32.0%
20% +1.3% 34% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +52% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +26% → late +78% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$250
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses667 / 626
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1293 / 1279
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day108.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1293 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +1158%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +1064%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +1027%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -119%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +1100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +1159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records