trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 0% | 0% | -11.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 0% | 0% | -13.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 0% | 0% | -13.9% |
| all | 28 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 29% | 7% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 7% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 4% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 4% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 4% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $40 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 72¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $30 | −$2 | -6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $3 | −$2 | -54% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Dec 21 | $3 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 18 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Jun 24 | $24 | +$3 | +11% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in April? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 210-219 times April 4 - 11? | Apr 09 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March? | Apr 09 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon 500-749 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | Apr 08 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in March? | Apr 08 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March? | Apr 07 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championshi | Apr 07 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 05 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Apr 05 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 04 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 03 | $25 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | -28% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross less than 11m on opening weekend? | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -82% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on March 31? | Mar 29 | $27 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 46°F or below on March 24? | Mar 25 | $28 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will 'Alto Knights' gross more than 7m on opening weekend? | Mar 22 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Montoya stay with his girlfriend? | Mar 21 | $16 | +$12 | +75% |