Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:44:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
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BA 0xba46…a8c1 crypto 1501 markets active 0h ago coverage 80d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 79d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$261 (+1%) realized +$261 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate91%1417W / 144L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day33.9pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$69now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$973
7 days−$964
14 days−$998
30 days−$1,011
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 81% −$156
other 19% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 -40.6% -46.2% 56% 0% -43.6%
≤30d 730 -7.0% -15.9% 85% 0% -16.4%
≤90d 1561 -3.5% -12.7% 91% 1% -12.9%
all 1561 -3.5% -12.7% 91% 1% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 1% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 0% -21.2%
15% -28.7% 0% -28.8%
20% -35.7% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$10 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.22 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

80d coverage
Net worth$69
Realized+$261
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1417 / 144
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1561 / 1501
History coverage80d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1561 Trades
no open positions (76 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$25 -109%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 11, 10AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $17 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68.65 · official $68.65 (match) · 3500 history records