Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba55…4e88
crypto · 767 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$125 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses358 / 408
Open positions1
Markets (closed)766 / 767
History coverage3d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day941.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 766 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$339
7 days−$125
14 days−$125
30 days−$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 61¢ 62¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $110 −$19 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $65 +$43 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$11 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$13 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$34 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$25 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$18 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$11 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$19 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$25 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$14 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $18 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $12 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $13 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $13 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $23 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $18 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 766 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 43% -10.1%
≤30d 766 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 43% -10.1%
≤90d 766 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 43% -10.1%
all 766 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 43% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover941.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 43% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 36% -18.7%
15% -32.2% 31% -26.6%
20% -38.9% 24% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.44 · official $15.15 · 3500 history records