Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba55…7225
crypto · 93 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$153 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$137 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized+$137
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses67 / 24
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)91 / 93
History coverage5d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day39.9
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 91 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$137
14 days+$137
30 days+$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $15 $31 +$16 (+112%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$25 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$19 +62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$22 +216%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$6 -61%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -52%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $51 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$47 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$20 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $29 +$11 +36%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$10 +48%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $36 −$13 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5) Jun 09 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% +$134
sports 31% −$5
other 9% +$25
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $15 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $31 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 12¢ $2 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $12 24h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $32 24h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 27h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) SELL Canada 11¢ $4 27h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 27¢ $10 29h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 47¢ $10 33h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL No 4¢ $1 35h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $6 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? SELL Yes 90¢ $1 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 91¢ $1 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? SELL Yes 86¢ $88 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 48¢ $50 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +3.7% -6.2% 74% 22% +8.7%
≤30d 91 +3.7% -6.2% 74% 22% +8.7%
≤90d 91 +3.7% -6.2% 74% 22% +8.7%
all 91 +3.7% -6.2% 74% 22% +8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 22% +8.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 20% -1.7%
15% -23.4% 19% -11.2%
20% -30.9% 14% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.55 · official $45.55 (match) · 285 history records