Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T01:31:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

BA 0xba5f…c67a other 4 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sampleP/L from Polymarket (history capped)

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ net negative once open positions are counted! high turnover

Total PnL −$817 (-23%) realized +$1,578 · open −$2,395

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip

Net edge-100%after slip

Net WR0%break-even

Win rate0%0W / 1L

Drawdown100%max

Avg bet$874per market

Trades / day17.0pace

Fees−$30est.

Kalshi-fit25%portable

Net worth$25now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-100.0%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	1	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%
≤30d	1	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%
≤90d	1	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%
all	1	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover17.0 tr/day

realistic slip~11%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
10% ← realistic here	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
15%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
20%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top —% · top 2 —% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI -100% too few recent

Fragile wins

—% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer

Win / loss size

— vs −$1,000 no data

Profit factor

×0.0 loses more than it wins

Copy size

≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$25

Realized+$1,578

Unrealized−$2,395

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 1

Est. fees paid−$30

Open positions3

Markets (closed)1 / 4

History coverage1d

Avg bet$874

Trades / day17.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit25%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 3 History 1 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 0 Austria?	Yes	10¢	10¢	$20	$21	+$1 (+5%)
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$1,400	$2	−$1,398 (-100%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$1,000	$2	−$998 (-100%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Jun 27	$1,024	−$1,000	-98%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY Yes	29¢	$204	1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	41¢	$204	1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	41¢	$204	1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	41¢	$305	1h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY Yes	29¢	$409	1h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY Yes	29¢	$511	1h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY Yes	29¢	$102	1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	18¢	$102	2h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	18¢	$102	2h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY Yes	25¢	$102	2h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	17¢	$102	4h
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 0 Austria?	BUY Yes	10¢	$21	10h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	18¢	$102	10h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY Yes	25¢	$102	10h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	19¢	$102	12h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	19¢	$717	12h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY Yes	19¢	$102	12h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.16 · official $32.56 · 17 history records