Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:13:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba5f…0c0f
sports · 649 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses356 / 292
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)648 / 649
History coverage205d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 648 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$6
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? No 75¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Pistons vs. Raptors Raptors 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Devils vs. Stars Stars 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Oilers 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Maple Leafs 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Predators vs. Sharks Sharks 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics Texas Rangers 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Wild vs. Oilers Oilers 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Florida Gators vs. South Carolina Gamecocks South Carolina Gamecocks 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Capitals vs. Canucks Capitals 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Sharks vs. Canadiens Canadiens 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Liberty Flames vs. Kennesaw State Owls Liberty Flames 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Jazz Jazz 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Blues vs. Kraken Kraken 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Weber State Wildcats Weber State Wildcats 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Heat Heat 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Oilers vs. Flames Oilers 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 −$1 -81%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -43%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -42%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $4 −$2 -46%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on Ju Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 -25%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 07 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 7? Jun 07 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 07 $1 $0 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8? Jun 07 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 7? Jun 07 $1 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 07 $1 $0 +8%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June Jun 06 $2 $0 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 6? Jun 06 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 6? Jun 06 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $1 $0 -42%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 6? Jun 06 $1 $0 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 7? Jun 06 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$1 -40%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 06 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% −$14
other 16% +$2
crypto 12% −$24
weather 8% −$2
world 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 10¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 49¢ $1 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 88¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? SELL No 49¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 88¢ $1 29h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? SELL No 56¢ $1 31h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 92¢ $1 31h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? SELL No 61¢ $1 31h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 12? SELL No 87¢ $1 31h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju SELL No 80¢ $1 33h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? SELL No 81¢ $1 34h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL No 81¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? BUY No 72¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY No 80¢ $1 38h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY No 81¢ $1 38h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? SELL No 85¢ $1 39h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 81¢ $1 39h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11? SELL No 94¢ $1 40h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $1 40h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju SELL No 92¢ $1 42h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? SELL No 82¢ $1 42h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $1 43h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 77¢ $1 46h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? BUY No 73¢ $1 46h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 11? SELL No 86¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 84¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -7.3% -16.1% 73% 11% -18.1%
≤30d 103 -3.2% -12.4% 75% 31% -13.3%
≤90d 181 -6.9% -15.7% 62% 38% -18.7%
all 648 -3.8% -13.0% 55% 48% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 48% -12.6%
10% -21.3% 44% -20.9%
15% -28.9% 41% -28.6%
20% -35.9% 38% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.99 (match) · 1103 history records