Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba67…4727
crypto · 113 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$449 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$715 · open −$266
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$892
Realized+$715
Unrealized−$266
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses70 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions8
Markets (closed)109 / 113
History coverage1d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day3388.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$715
7 days+$715
14 days+$715
30 days+$715
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 89¢ 94¢ $338 $359 +$21 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 78¢ 82¢ $233 $248 +$15 (+6%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Over 53¢ 30¢ $195 $110 −$85 (-43%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 38¢ 28¢ $111 $80 −$31 (-28%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 85¢ 88¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 94¢ 98¢ $33 $35 +$2 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 24¢ 18¢ $12 $9 −$3 (-27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 23¢ 12¢ $7 $3 −$3 (-51%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 0¢ 24¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 21¢ 6¢ $8 $2 −$6 (-74%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 18¢ 2¢ $6 $0 −$5 (-92%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 56¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$29 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $302 −$30 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$69 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $456 −$101 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$45 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $493 +$8 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$21 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$26 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$13 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $303 +$40 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$56 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $442 +$44 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$3 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $289 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $704 +$73 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$27 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $322 +$123 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $288 −$44 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $329 −$174 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$8 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$15 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $278 +$44 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$12 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $442 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $317 +$35 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $571 +$75 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$25 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$39 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$22 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $542 +$55 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $497 +$100 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$13 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $443 +$218 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$15 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$35 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $493 −$217 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $223 −$16 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$23 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$49 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$12 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$59 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$23 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$698
other 2% −$249
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $34 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $33 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $28 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $30 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $30 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $34 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $33 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $31 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $22 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $32 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $32 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $30 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +5.7% -4.4% 64% 40% -6.7%
≤30d 109 +5.7% -4.4% 64% 40% -6.7%
≤90d 109 +5.7% -4.4% 64% 40% -6.7%
all 109 +5.7% -4.4% 64% 40% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3388.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 40% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 25% -15.6%
15% -21.9% 13% -23.8%
20% -29.5% 5% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $892.29 · official $892.29 (match) · 3500 history records