Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:05:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba86…160e
other · 3 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$5 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$10
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+89.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +109.0% +89.1% 100% 100% +89.1%
≤30d 1 +109.0% +89.1% 100% 100% +89.1%
≤90d 1 +109.0% +89.1% 100% 100% +89.1%
all 1 +109.0% +89.1% 100% 100% +89.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +89.1% 100% +89.1%
10% +71.0% 100% +71.0%
15% +54.5% 100% +54.5%
20% +39.4% 100% +39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.17 · official $10.17 (match) · 5 history records