Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba8f…6e3e
crypto · 407 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses328 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)407 / 407
History coverage16d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days+$8
14 days−$22
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 +2.8% -7.0% 82% 74% -8.7%
≤30d 407 +1.6% -8.1% 81% 69% -9.9%
≤90d 407 +1.6% -8.1% 81% 69% -9.9%
all 407 +1.6% -8.1% 81% 69% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 69% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 31% -18.5%
15% -24.9% 7% -26.4%
20% -32.3% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 842 history records