trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.3% |
| all | 14 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 100% | 0% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 0% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 0% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 0% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $177 | $177 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | May 31 | $175 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | May 23 | $172 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Apr 04 | $168 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Mar 22 | $170 | +$1 | +0% |
| Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Jan 30 | $154 | +$15 | +9% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | Jan 27 | $148 | +$2 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Jan 07 | $152 | +$1 | +1% |
| Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Dec 25 | $151 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 8-14? | Dec 17 | $151 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 13 | $150 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November? | Dec 09 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch? | Nov 26 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23? | Nov 24 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 23 | $150 | $0 | +0% |