Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba9a…f560
sports · 37 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
−$43 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses16 / 18
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)34 / 37
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 3 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Yes 33¢ 34¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Yes 20¢ 17¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $29 +$22 +76%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$2 -53%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 +$12 +325%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$6 -63%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$8 +40%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $9 +$5 +57%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $18 −$17 -98%
Czechia to win the second half? Jun 12 $15 −$8 -52%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $15 −$9 -62%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +38%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $10 +$7 +73%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$7 +73%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$14 +139%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $20 +$30 +145%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% $0
other 42% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 56¢ $29 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 12h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 12h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Over 5¢ $1 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Over 20¢ $5 13h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $10 13h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $10 13h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 23¢ $4 38h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 21¢ $4 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 38h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 42h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 42h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $10 42h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 42h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $10 42h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 44¢ $7 2d
Czechia to win the second half? SELL Yes 22¢ $7 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 32¢ $8 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 20¢ $6 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 33¢ $2 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 63¢ $9 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 43¢ $10 2d
Czechia to win the second half? BUY Yes 44¢ $15 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 2d
Korea Republic leading at halftime? BUY Yes 29¢ $20 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 71¢ $20 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 BUY Under 68¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 47% -20.0%
≤30d 34 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 47% -20.0%
≤90d 34 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 47% -20.0%
all 34 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 47% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 47% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 47% -27.7%
15% -30.1% 41% -34.7%
20% -36.9% 29% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.01 · official $35.02 (match) · 64 history records