Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbac5…7adc
crypto · 855 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,640 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,637 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$1,637
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses409 / 522
Open positions1
Markets (closed)931 / 855
History coverage13d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day260.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 931 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,005
7 days−$4,424
14 days−$1,637
30 days−$1,637
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 5¢ 3¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,075
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $16 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $16 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $16 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $16 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $80 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $16 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $61 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $16 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $71 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 683 -28.1% -34.9% 37% 36% -28.3%
≤30d 931 -10.9% -19.4% 44% 43% -14.6%
≤90d 931 -10.9% -19.4% 44% 43% -14.6%
all 931 -10.9% -19.4% 44% 43% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover260.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 43% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 41% -22.8%
15% -34.1% 37% -30.3%
20% -40.6% 33% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.49 · official $7.49 (match) · 3500 history records