Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:03:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbad3…1b51
crypto · 77 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses51 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)77 / 77
Avg bet$9
Trades / day66.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $62 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$19 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$16 +151%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$14 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$19
other 10% −$4
politics 8% +$2
world 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 9¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 36% -12.3%
≤30d 77 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 36% -12.3%
≤90d 77 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 36% -12.3%
all 77 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 36% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 36% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 31% -20.7%
15% -26.8% 29% -28.3%
20% -34.0% 25% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 155 history records