trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 40% | 0% | -16.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 40% | 0% | -16.4% |
| all | 21 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 48% | 0% | -15.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 0% | -15.1% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 0% | -23.2% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 0% | -30.7% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 0% | -37.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 71¢ | 70¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $41 | −$15 | -36% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 28 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 25 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Denmark win the 2025 IIHF World Championship? | May 25 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 23 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | May 22 | $16 | −$6 | -37% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 28 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 27 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Mar 22 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Heathrow Airport reopen by Saturday 8 AM GMT? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 13 | $15 | $0 | +1% |