trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -18.8% | -26.5% | 35% | 30% | -48.6% |
| ≤90d | 412 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 55% | 53% | -24.0% |
| all | 412 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 55% | 53% | -24.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.8% | 53% | -24.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -22.0% | 42% | -31.3% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 33% | -37.9% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 26% | -44.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $72 | $86 | +$14 (+20%) |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 56¢ | 55¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-40%) |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 52¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-96%) |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | -7% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +95% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 06 | $2 | +$2 | +65% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 05 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 03 | $3 | −$1 | -16% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | May 28 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | May 28 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $60 | −$39 | -65% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 26 | $2 | +$1 | +69% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 25 | $16 | +$1 | +8% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 24 | $4 | +$1 | +25% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 23 | $22 | −$12 | -56% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $83 | −$36 | -44% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | May 23 | $22 | −$1 | -6% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 22 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 21 | $17 | +$3 | +17% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $6 | +$16 | +273% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 17 | $8 | −$2 | -25% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 20 | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 13 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | May 13 | $42 | +$38 | +92% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 12 | $10 | −$5 | -53% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $19 | +$4 | +19% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $18 | +$14 | +81% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 09 | $3 | +$2 | +47% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 09 | $33 | +$7 | +20% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5 | May 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | May 08 | $17 | +$3 | +20% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 07 | $11 | −$10 | -86% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | May 06 | $2 | +$1 | +63% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | May 06 | $9 | +$11 | +124% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 05 | $16 | +$10 | +63% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $19 | +$7 | +38% |
| Flyers vs. Hurricanes | May 05 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 04 | $4 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 04 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | May 04 | $3 | +$5 | +135% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | May 04 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $2 | +$1 | +58% |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | May 02 | $34 | −$24 | -71% |