Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:30:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbafb…6e13
crypto · 181 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$41 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses135 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)181 / 181
History coverage4d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day138.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 36¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 55¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 65¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 91¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 64¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 79¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 43¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 87¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 61¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 80¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 76¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 24¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 83¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 36¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 79¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 66¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 72¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 84¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 49¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 33¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 90¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $75 +$4 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$6 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$22 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$24 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $77 −$35 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$5 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$24 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$15 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$12 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$27 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$13 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$5 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$25 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$25 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$13 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$11 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $27 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $43 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 -5.5% -14.5% 75% 33% -9.4%
≤30d 181 -5.5% -14.5% 75% 33% -9.4%
≤90d 181 -5.5% -14.5% 75% 33% -9.4%
all 181 -5.5% -14.5% 75% 33% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 33% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 14% -18.1%
15% -30.2% 6% -26.0%
20% -37.0% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 633 history records