Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:05:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbaff…ee8d
crypto · 1109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$315 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$812 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$812
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses799 / 545
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1344 / 1109
History coverage18d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day143.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1344 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$753
7 days−$785
14 days−$743
30 days−$812
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$34 -358%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -46%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -190%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -875%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -567%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$10 -10674%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$88
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 360 -67.4% -70.5% 20% 18% -53.9%
≤30d 1344 -17.3% -25.2% 59% 29% -13.0%
≤90d 1344 -17.3% -25.2% 59% 29% -13.0%
all 1344 -17.3% -25.2% 59% 29% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover143.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 29% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -32.4% 18% -21.3%
15% -38.9% 12% -28.9%
20% -44.9% 7% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records