Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:02:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb01…02e5
other · 641 markets active 79d ago
0.0score
−$196,796 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$197,473 · open +$677
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,684
Realized−$197,473
Unrealized+$677
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses564 / 113
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)677 / 641
Avg bet$4,320
Trades / day31.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 3 History 677 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58,512
7 days−$58,512
14 days−$58,512
30 days−$58,512
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? Yes 5¢ 100¢ $64 $1,364 +$1,301 (+2041%)
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 60¢ 16¢ $701 $181 −$520 (-74%)
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes 27¢ 16¢ $242 $138 −$104 (-43%)
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1,653 $0 −$1,653 (-100%)
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30? No 3¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs? No 70¢ 0¢ $407 $0 −$407 (-100%)
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will 20 Cigarettes by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3,409 $0 −$3,409 (-100%)
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will the US strike Colombia next? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m? No 32¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Where Is My Husband! by RAYE be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $536 $0 −$536 (-100%)
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $50-$55 in January? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $3,239 $0 −$3,239 (-100%)
Will SOS by SZA be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3,409 $0 −$3,409 (-100%)
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime (BO3) Ultra Prime 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Short n' Sweet by Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3,409 $0 −$3,409 (-100%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Will Palantir dip to $162 in January? No 62¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will FDO by Pooh Shiesty be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $525 $0 −$525 (-100%)
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13? No 10¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $536 $0 −$536 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31? Jun 12 $28 −$50 -176%
Will 20 Cigarettes by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 song for the w Jun 12 $500 −$534 -107%
Will Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard 200 #1 al Jun 12 $3,409 −$3,409 -100%
Will the US strike Colombia next? Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Will Where Is My Husband! by RAYE be the Billboard #1 song for the wee Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $50-$55 in January? Jun 12 $3,239 −$3,239 -100%
Will SOS by SZA be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January Jun 12 $3,409 −$3,409 -100%
Will Short n' Sweet by Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard 200 #1 album Jun 12 $3,409 −$3,409 -100%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January? Jun 12 $284 −$284 -100%
Will FDO by Pooh Shiesty be the Billboard #1 song for the week of Janu Jun 12 $525 −$535 -102%
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$75 in January? Jun 12 $3,239 −$3,239 -100%
Will One Thing At A Time by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 albu Jun 12 $3,409 −$3,409 -100%
Will End of Beginning by Djo be the Billboard #1 song for the week of Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will The Leaks by Lil Baby be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week Jun 12 $3,409 −$3,409 -100%
Will The Life Of A Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the Billboard 200 #1 al Jun 12 $3,199 −$3,400 -106%
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Will Folded by Kehlani be the Billboard #1 song for the week of Januar Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? Jun 12 $1,480 −$1,480 -100%
Will I Got Better by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 song for the we Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in January? Jun 12 $2,616 −$3,234 -124%
Will Golden by HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna & REI AMI be the Billboard # Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week o Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the w Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will DINASTIA by Peso Pluma & Tito Double P be the Billboard 200 #1 al Jun 12 $3,217 −$3,401 -106%
Will Daisies by Justin Bieber be the Billboard #1 song for the week of Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will Mutt by Leon Thomas be the Billboard #1 song for the week of Janu Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack be the Billboard 200 #1 album fo Jun 12 $3,409 −$3,409 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? Jun 12 $3,239 −$3,239 -100%
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January? Jun 12 $284 −$284 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in January? Jun 12 $3,239 −$3,239 -100%
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend? Jun 12 $1,480 −$1,480 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $45-$50 in January? Jun 12 $3,239 −$3,239 -100%
Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will I thought I saw Your Face Today by She & Him be the Billboard #1 Jun 12 $536 −$536 -100%
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1? Apr 14 $83 +$7 +8%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and Apr 14 $267 +$68 +26%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and Apr 14 $282 +$499 +177%
CBB mindshare all time high by March 31? Mar 25 $139 +$6 +4%
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31? Mar 25 $169 +$2 +1%
mert mindshare all time high by March 31? Mar 19 $193 +$2 +1%
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025? Mar 07 $256 +$11 +4%
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? Feb 28 $5 $0 +0%
Will 2 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs? Feb 22 $473 +$104 +22%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? Feb 21 $3,999 +$1,053 +26%
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 Feb 20 $29,800 −$17,300 -58%
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presi Feb 19 $24,447 +$30 +0%
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? Feb 19 $6,867 +$7 +0%
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? Feb 19 $33,028 +$166 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$15,704
sports 12% +$430
tech 11% +$23,399
culture 9% −$93,023
politics 8% −$35,489
finance 6% −$18,364
crypto 4% +$817
economics 2% +$79
world 2% −$441
weather 1% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
CBB mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 89¢ $145 79d
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 90¢ $121 79d
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 90¢ $14 79d
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 90¢ $9 79d
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 90¢ $19 81d
mert mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 89¢ $18 84d
mert mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 89¢ $17 90d
mert mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 89¢ $15 90d
mert mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 89¢ $12 90d
mert mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 89¢ $29 90d
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 90¢ $9 97d
mert mindshare all time high by March 31? SELL No 89¢ $50 101d
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? SELL No 98¢ $508 110d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 SELL Yes 10¢ $500 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 SELL No 5¢ $250 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 SELL No 10¢ $500 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 SELL Yes 5¢ $250 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 BUY No 90¢ $4,500 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 BUY Yes 90¢ $4,500 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 BUY Yes 90¢ $4,500 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 BUY No 90¢ $4,500 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 BUY No 90¢ $900 112d
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5 BUY Yes 90¢ $900 112d
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presi BUY No 100¢ $999 112d
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presi BUY No 100¢ $23,448 112d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? SELL Yes 17¢ $188 113d
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? BUY No 99¢ $33,028 113d
Will the US strike Somalia next? SELL Yes 100¢ $444 113d
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? BUY No 100¢ $6,867 113d
Will the US strike Somalia next? BUY Yes 93¢ $84 113d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)+3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 31 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 37 -77.9% -80.0% 16% 5% -96.8%
all 677 +14.1% +3.3% 83% 13% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.3% 13% -15.9%
10% -6.6% 9% -24.0%
15% ← realistic here -15.6% 6% -31.3%
20% -23.9% 5% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,683.93 · official $1,683.93 (match) · 3500 history records