Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T03:28:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb1e…05f5 crypto 900 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (204 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$562 (-6%) realized −$562 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate48%433W / 467L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day204.1pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$628
other 3% +$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (204 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 900 -16.8% -24.7% 48% 48% -14.6%
≤30d 900 -16.8% -24.7% 48% 48% -14.6%
≤90d 900 -16.8% -24.7% 48% 48% -14.6%
all 900 -16.8% -24.7% 48% 48% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover204.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.7% 48% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -31.9% 48% -22.8%
15% -38.5% 42% -30.2%
20% -44.5% 34% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$9 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$562
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses433 / 467
Open positions0
Markets (closed)900 / 900
History coverage5d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day204.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 900 Trades
no open positions (453 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $53 +$21 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$16 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$30 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $47 +$31 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $45 +$48 +106%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $44 +$26 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $65 −$65 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 23 $53 +$24 +46%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $17 −$9 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 23 $66 +$34 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$19 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$17 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $52 −$52 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 23 $57 +$21 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 23 $45 +$28 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 23 $44 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 23 $54 −$54 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 23 $55 +$24 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 23 $54 +$32 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$9 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$8 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$15 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $12 +$8 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$6 +55%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$6 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $12 +$5 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $53 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $18 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 53m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $47 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $45 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $35 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $53 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $23 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $29 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1546 history records