Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb1f…f914
crypto · 1564 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$274 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$274 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$274
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses709 / 855
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1564 / 1564
History coverage148d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 1564 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$34
14 days−$104
30 days−$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$229
other 8% −$33
sports 4% −$9
tech 0% −$2
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 41h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -30.6% -37.2% 40% 34% -44.2%
≤30d 244 -40.3% -46.0% 34% 31% -44.8%
≤90d 1062 -11.6% -20.0% 47% 44% -16.7%
all 1564 -10.7% -19.2% 45% 35% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.2% 35% -14.5%
10% -26.9% 29% -22.7%
15% -34.0% 20% -30.1%
20% -40.5% 16% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records