Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb26…4a01
other · 138 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$79 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$77 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses16 / 122
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)138 / 138
History coverage109d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Raptors vs. Clippers Raptors 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Clippers 65¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Mavericks 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Heat Wizards 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Magic vs. Raptors Magic 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Rockets Knicks 51¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Hawks Warriors 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans Pelicans 34¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $20 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 09 $19 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 08 $16 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $139 $0 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 06 $13 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 05 $19 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $26 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 25 $110 $0 -0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 23 $109 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $143 $0 -0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 21 $140 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 21 $224 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 18 $143 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $362 $0 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 17 $119 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 15 $111 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? May 13 $144 −$1 -0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 13 $114 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $260 $0 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 12 $278 $0 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 11 $133 $0 -0%
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 10 $110 $0 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina May 10 $130 $0 -0%
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 10 $136 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 09 $185 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $404 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 07 $271 $0 -0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 06 $93 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 05 $95 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $262 $0 -0%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 04 $246 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 04 $143 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no May 03 $124 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 03 $118 $0 -0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? May 03 $152 $0 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 02 $118 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 02 $108 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin May 01 $144 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 01 $133 $0 -0%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 30 $108 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 27 $119 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 27 $113 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 26 $306 $0 -0%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 24 $140 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $285 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 22 $117 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $133 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $150 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 21 $117 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $281 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$10
politics 36% −$8
economics 5% −$1
sports 5% +$98
crypto 4% −$1
tech 1% $0
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $20 1h
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $20 5h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $19 5d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $19 5d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $16 5d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $16 6d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $13 6d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 6d
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $13 7d
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $13 7d
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $19 8d
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $19 14d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $26 14d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $26 15d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $110 19d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $110 20d
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $109 21d
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $109 22d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $143 23d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $143 23d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $140 23d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $140 24d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $107 24d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $107 26d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $143 27d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $143 27d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $127 27d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $127 27d
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $119 27d
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $119 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 16 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 129 +8.6% -1.7% 8% 7% -9.4%
all 138 +8.9% -1.5% 12% 10% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.5% 10% -9.1%
10% -10.9% 8% -17.8%
15% -19.5% 6% -25.8%
20% -27.4% 5% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 381 history records