Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:40:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb2b…aba3 crypto 980 markets active 13h ago coverage 66d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$172 (+0%) realized +$172 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate77%751W / 229L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$54per market
Trades / day28.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$118
14 days−$108
30 days−$222
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -4.3% -13.4% 71% 1% -13.5%
≤30d 414 -1.1% -10.6% 77% 2% -10.3%
≤90d 980 -0.2% -9.7% 77% 2% -9.6%
all 980 -0.2% -9.7% 77% 2% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 2% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$14 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

66d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$172
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses751 / 229
Open positions0
Markets (closed)980 / 980
History coverage66d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day28.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 980 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $33 −$17 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $33 −$19 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $33 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $33 −$7 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $33 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$17 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$22 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$7 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $35 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $34 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $34 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$9 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$3 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $33 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $32 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $21 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $32 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $32 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $16 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $33 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $31 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $18 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $33 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $16 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $33 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $27 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $33 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2682 history records