Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:55:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb3d…2ed2
crypto · 461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,584 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,587 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$1,587
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses233 / 238
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)471 / 461
History coverage18d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day32.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 471 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,147
7 days−$1,215
14 days−$1,435
30 days−$1,587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US recession by end of 2026? No 71¢ 81¢ $23 $26 +$3 (+15%)
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026? No 90¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 9¢ 16¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+83%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 14¢ 8¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-47%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? No 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 10? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 13? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16? Jun 13 $11 −$99 -942%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 13 $54 −$107 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16? Jun 13 $14 −$41 -297%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 11? Jun 13 $35 −$70 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10? Jun 13 $76 −$151 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 10? Jun 13 $16 −$31 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11? Jun 13 $40 −$81 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 13? Jun 13 $1 −$49 -8429%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 13? Jun 13 $17 −$35 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11? Jun 13 $104 −$209 -200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16? Jun 13 $40 −$125 -313%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10? Jun 13 $19 −$38 -200%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$19 +128%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$21 +398%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$17 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +201%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$387
tech 4% −$181
other 1% +$31
sports 1% −$11
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -19.0% -26.7% 40% 33% -44.0%
≤30d 471 -14.2% -22.4% 49% 45% -22.2%
≤90d 471 -14.2% -22.4% 49% 45% -22.2%
all 471 -14.2% -22.4% 49% 45% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 45% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 41% -29.7%
15% -36.6% 34% -36.5%
20% -42.8% 29% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.39 · official $84.35 · 3500 history records