trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 16 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,311 | $1,311 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $44 | $44 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic o | Jun 29 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 29 | $1,205 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 21 | $19 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 18 | $9 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 18 | $4 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Apr 17 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 16 | $158 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $21 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 16 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Mar 29 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March | Mar 28 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Mar 25 | $147 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 25 | $22 | $0 | -0% |