Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:51:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb4c…34c5
other · 51 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$41 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses12 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage570d
Avg bet$375
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $13 $0 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 10 $8 $0 -0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $10 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $90 $0 -0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $12 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 03 $13 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $14 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May? Jun 01 $33 $0 +0%
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 31 $10 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 30 $11 $0 -0%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 24 $15 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 23 $10 $0 -0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi May 18 $75 $0 -0%
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets May 18 $7 +$4 +62%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 13 $135 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $74 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $139 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 08 $72 $0 -0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 07 $70 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $70 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $73 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 24 $70 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 23 $67 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Apr 22 $74 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $73 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $70 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $68 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $74 $0 -0%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Bucks vs. Nets Apr 08 $7 +$9 +124%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $9 +$2 +24%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 07 $8 +$9 +105%
Flames vs. Golden Knights Apr 06 $3 +$2 +45%
Will Solana reach $150 in March? Apr 02 $24 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Apr 02 $49 +$1 +2%
Rockets vs. Bulls Mar 27 $23 −$23 -100%
Suns vs. Spurs Mar 23 $19 +$5 +27%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Mar 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? Mar 05 $91 +$2 +2%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Feb 09 $13,622 −$13 -0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Jan 16 $12 $0 +1%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 08 $9 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $36 −$1 -2%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 30 $14 −$1 -5%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 10 $26 $0 -0%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 12 $18 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 72% −$14
politics 20% −$9
other 5% −$7
culture 1% $0
crypto 1% +$2
sports 1% −$14
tech 0% $0
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $13 1h
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $13 4h
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $8 2d
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $8 2d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 3d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 52¢ $8 3d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $15 4d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $15 4d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $10 7d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $10 7d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 8d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $12 8d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $13 9d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 9d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 11d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 11d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 12d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 12d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $11 13d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 13d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $15 19d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $15 19d
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $33 19d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 100¢ $75 25d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $75 25d
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 61¢ $7 29d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $66 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -20.1% -27.7% 0% 0% -15.2%
≤30d 16 -2.5% -11.8% 12% 6% -10.6%
≤90d 41 -2.8% -12.1% 22% 15% -10.6%
all 51 -2.4% -11.7% 24% 12% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 12% -9.7%
10% -20.1% 12% -18.4%
15% -27.9% 8% -26.2%
20% -34.9% 6% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 251 history records