Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:21:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb50…98ea
crypto · 206 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$163 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$148 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$184
Realized−$148
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses93 / 89
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions24
Markets (closed)182 / 206
History coverage18d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 24 History 182 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$8
14 days−$25
30 days−$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $15 $18 +$3 (+17%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-32%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes 56¢ 34¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-39%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+23%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes 83¢ 66¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-20%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+32%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 43¢ 42¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-42%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$16 +167%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 11 $9 −$9 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$10 +160%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$21 +673%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 +$9 +153%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 +$18 +176%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 +$10 +184%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $6 −$6 -95%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $10 +$1 +6%
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $5 $0 +3%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5 May 31 $5 $0 +7%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) May 31 $5 +$3 +59%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $3 +$7 +212%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET May 31 $10 +$4 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 31? May 31 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 31? May 31 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET May 31 $52 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 30 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May May 30 $10 −$10 -99%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 30 $5 +$1 +25%
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, May 30 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET May 30 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET May 30 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET May 30 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET May 30 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 30 $25 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30? May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30? May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET May 30 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET May 30 $5 +$1 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$64
other 20% −$75
weather 15% −$8
sports 9% −$15
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $10 12h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 14h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? SELL Yes 96¢ $25 17h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 17h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 38h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 29¢ $8 38h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 38h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 35¢ $9 41h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 38¢ $9 41h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 16¢ $4 41h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 41h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? SELL Yes 97¢ $24 41h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? BUY Yes 28¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? BUY Yes 24¢ $4 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $15 3d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 3d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 3d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 3d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-24.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +1.1% -8.5% 32% 27% -3.5%
≤30d 182 -16.0% -24.0% 51% 38% -21.0%
≤90d 182 -16.0% -24.0% 51% 38% -21.0%
all 182 -16.0% -24.0% 51% 38% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.0% 38% -21.0%
10% -31.2% 30% -28.5%
15% -37.9% 26% -35.4%
20% -44.0% 20% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $184.32 · official $184.32 (match) · 426 history records