Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T19:01:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb62…7a65 crypto 77 markets active 1h ago coverage 614d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$123 (-3%) realized −$123 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate74%57W / 20L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day0.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$101
7 days+$101
14 days+$101
30 days+$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$75
politics 3% −$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +1.5% -8.2% 94% 15% -7.0%
≤30d 53 +1.5% -8.2% 94% 15% -7.0%
≤90d 76 -8.7% -17.4% 75% 16% -7.7%
all 77 -9.9% -18.5% 74% 16% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 16% -10.5%
10% -26.3% 0% -19.0%
15% -33.4% 0% -26.9%
20% -39.9% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$13 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

614d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses57 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)77 / 77
History coverage614d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 77 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $92 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 23 $88 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 23 $84 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $78 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 23 $76 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $69 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 23 $103 −$50 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $145 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $79 +$16 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $117 +$12 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $106 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 23 $96 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 23 $86 +$13 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 23 $80 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $75 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 23 $71 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $66 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $59 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $144 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $140 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $137 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $121 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $120 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $120 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 22 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 22 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 22 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $40 +$3 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $46 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $46 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $43 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $43 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $83 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $38 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $38 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $67 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 296 history records