Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:35:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb63…e6db
sports · 831 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$115 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$96 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$257
Realized+$96
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses438 / 338
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions55
Markets (closed)776 / 831
History coverage44d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 55 History 776 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days+$22
14 days−$2
30 days+$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? No 83¢ 94¢ $20 $22 +$3 (+13%)
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? No 64¢ 94¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+46%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 70¢ 99¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+42%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 78¢ 99¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+27%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? Yes 57¢ 99¢ $4 $8 +$3 (+73%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 73¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+37%)
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 55¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+78%)
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? No 61¢ 94¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+55%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? No 77¢ 99¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+28%)
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 60¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No 78¢ 97¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+24%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 51¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Qatar 51¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 68¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+44%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Over 54¢ 56¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Dallas Wings 53¢ 52¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5 Under 55¢ 55¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 61¢ 55¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5 Over 57¢ 57¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 57¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 56¢ 55¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Brazil 57¢ 57¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +41%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $4 +$3 +67%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +62%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$2 +62%
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +89%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 +$5 +109%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $3 +$4 +124%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +56%
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tele-Rallies? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Trump say "Football" during Tele-Rallies? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +67%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $2 +$3 +105%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5) Jun 11 $4 +$4 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$34
other 18% +$73
world 3% −$2
politics 2% +$7
tech 1% +$5
finance 1% −$6
economics 0% $0
crypto 0% +$2
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5 BUY Under 55¢ $0 48m
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5 BUY Under 55¢ $4 58m
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5 BUY Under 54¢ $0 58m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $5 1h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 57¢ $4 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 56¢ $3 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 59¢ $4 1h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) BUY Dallas Wings 53¢ $5 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $4 3h
Colombia leading at halftime? BUY No 49¢ $2 3h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 61¢ $3 3h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 52¢ $3 3h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) BUY Tampa Bay Rays 64¢ $4 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 59¢ $4 4h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $3 5h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 54¢ $5 6h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 52¢ $3 6h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $2 7h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 43¢ $5 7h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 BUY Over 48¢ $5 7h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 46¢ $2 7h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 62¢ $3 15h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 60¢ $4 23h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 61¢ $4 24h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? BUY No 61¢ $3 25h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY No 45¢ $2 25h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $4 26h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $4 27h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 27h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 58¢ $3 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 +3.0% -6.8% 61% 61% -4.7%
≤30d 542 +2.3% -7.5% 61% 59% -6.1%
≤90d 776 -0.3% -9.8% 56% 54% -7.9%
all 776 -0.3% -9.8% 56% 54% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 54% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 49% -16.7%
15% -26.3% 38% -24.8%
20% -33.5% 30% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $257.23 · official $257.28 (match) · 1858 history records