trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +46.9% | +32.9% | 50% | 50% | +27.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +46.9% | +32.9% | 50% | 50% | +27.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +46.9% | +32.9% | 50% | 50% | +27.5% |
| all | 22 | -16.7% | -24.6% | 36% | 36% | -61.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.6% | 36% | -61.7% |
| 10% | -31.8% | 36% | -65.3% |
| 15% | -38.4% | 36% | -68.7% |
| 20% | -44.5% | 27% | -71.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $600 | $592 | −$8 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $200 | $186 | −$14 (-7%) |
| Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $150 | $150 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq? | Yes | 14¢ | 26¢ | $50 | $95 | +$45 (+89%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $88 | −$12 (-12%) |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? | Yes | 16¢ | 24¢ | $50 | $77 | +$27 (+53%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $45 | $36 | −$8 (-18%) |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 | Over | 35¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $30 | −$70 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $24 | −$16 | -69% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $60 | +$340 | +563% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $354 | +$169 | +48% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $203 | +$155 | +76% |
| Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals | Jun 22 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $202 | +$115 | +57% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 21 | $207 | −$200 | -97% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $534 | −$534 | -100% |
| Chennai Super Kings vs. Punjab Kings | Apr 30 | $300 | +$208 | +70% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Apr 30 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Hurricanes | Apr 30 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 30 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 30 | $1,400 | −$1,400 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30? | Apr 30 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "DOGE" during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30? | Apr 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Apr 30 | $500 | +$454 | +91% |
| Clippers vs. Nuggets | Apr 30 | $51 | +$22 | +43% |
| Bucks vs. Pacers | Apr 30 | $188 | −$188 | -100% |
| Delhi Capitals vs. Kolkata Knight Riders | Apr 29 | $186 | +$102 | +55% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | Apr 11 | $2,739 | −$2,739 | -100% |