trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 33% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 25 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 48% | 4% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 4% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 81¢ | 81¢ | $32 | $32 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $36 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 27 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $65 | +$2 | +4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 24 | $61 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Jun 24 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in May? | Jun 03 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | May 27 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 22 | $6 | +$1 | +21% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | May 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 14 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Colts draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 21 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Apr 19 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31? | Mar 24 | $12 | −$1 | -7% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 19 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | -0% |