trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 33% | 33% | -28.3% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +40.4% | +27.0% | 73% | 53% | +13.3% |
| all | 21 | +24.2% | +12.3% | 76% | 38% | +11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.3% | 38% | +11.8% |
| 10% | +1.6% | 29% | +1.1% |
| 15% | -8.2% | 24% | -8.7% |
| 20% | -17.2% | 19% | -17.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 | Over | 71¢ | 70¢ | $156 | $155 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card) | Jun 17 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 09 | $210 | −$206 | -98% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees | Jun 03 | $154 | +$290 | +188% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 27 | $156 | −$154 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 21 | $167 | +$277 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 13 | $244 | −$240 | -98% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 13 | $11 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 13 | $11 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? | May 13 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | May 13 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | May 13 | $15 | +$7 | +45% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 13 | $72 | +$18 | +26% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 13 | $83 | +$345 | +414% |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Le | May 13 | $193 | +$248 | +129% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 27 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026? | Feb 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple reach $360 in January? | Feb 03 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palantir reach $258 in January? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December? | Jan 08 | $21 | $0 | +0% |