trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $30 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Jun 19 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 19 | $1,244 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $1,211 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30? | Jun 18 | $72 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,237 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | Jun 18 | $1,172 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 18 | $1,270 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 20 | $1,007 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 20 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 20 | $918 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | May 20 | $918 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 19 | $944 | −$3 | -0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | May 19 | $908 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 19 | $978 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 18 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $1,035 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $971 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 09 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 09 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 09 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | Apr 05 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Apr 05 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 05 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany strike Iran by April 30? | Apr 01 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $27 | $0 | -0% |