Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T19:03:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb73…254f crypto 67 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$221 (+4%) realized +$221 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate75%50W / 17L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$74per market
Trades / day6.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -2.4% -11.7% 78% 36% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -6.6% -15.5% 75% 33% -11.2%
≤90d 67 -6.6% -15.5% 75% 33% -11.2%
all 67 -6.6% -15.5% 75% 33% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 33% -11.2%
10% -23.6% 16% -19.7%
15% -31.0% 6% -27.5%
20% -37.8% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
54% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$34 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$221
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses50 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage20d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 67 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 26 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 26 $26 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $33 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $246 −$120 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $91 +$21 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 26 $63 +$19 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 26 $133 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 26 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 26 $150 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $151 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $121 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 26 $110 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $81 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 26 $81 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 26 $83 +$36 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $151 +$20 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $102 +$32 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 26 $140 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $121 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $218 +$29 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $81 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 26 $93 +$56 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $205 −$83 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $110 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 26 $202 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $80 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 26 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $71 +$19 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $19 −$14 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 25 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $41 −$40 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $26 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $40 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $122 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $152 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $125 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $151 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 176 history records