Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb7a…ed18
weather · 359 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses364 / 376
Open positions20
Markets (closed)740 / 359
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day331.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 20 History 740 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$129
7 days−$63
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 13¢ 51¢ $7 $28 +$21 (+296%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 20? Yes 39¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+154%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 1? No 37¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+168%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 27? No 38¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+165%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+33%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-21%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1? No 37¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+170%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 14? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11? Yes 18¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+441%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3? No 3¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+3669%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 10? No 32¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+212%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13? Yes 18¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+452%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 23? Yes 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+170%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-71%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8? Yes 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7? Yes 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 23? Yes 13¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+669%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17? Yes 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 30? Yes 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+233%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Yes 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+170%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12? Yes 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+266%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13? Yes 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+335%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 20? Jun 13 $2 +$4 +202%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 1? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +195%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 27 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +214%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1? Jun 13 $1 +$2 +354%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +274%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3? Jun 13 $0 +$5 +17645%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -817%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 23? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +362%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +156%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -220%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 23? Jun 13 $0 +$4 +4330%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17? Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1610%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 30? Jun 13 $0 +$7 +3247%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +656%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 +335%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 31? Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1756%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 5? Jun 13 $0 +$2 +3293%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 28 Jun 13 $0 +$3 +3821%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26? Jun 13 $0 $0 +257%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16? Jun 13 $0 +$12 +32241%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +626%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18? Jun 13 $0 $0 +300%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 27? Jun 13 $0 +$2 +3036%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11? Jun 13 $0 +$2 +1515%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 25? Jun 13 $0 $0 +212%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8? Jun 13 $0 +$3 +3318%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17? Jun 13 $0 +$6 +7265%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30? Jun 13 $0 +$5 +10557%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -1861%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 25? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +2518%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 14? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 10? Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 12? Jun 13 $0 +$9 +3936%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on April 6? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -340%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 30? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -206%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 22? Jun 13 $0 +$2 +5349%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 16? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +183%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 6? Jun 13 $0 $0 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on March 27? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 18 Jun 13 $0 +$2 +563%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on June 3? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2? Jun 13 $4 −$2 -51%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 19? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -304%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 21? Jun 13 $6 −$5 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 30? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 18? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -71%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 28? Jun 13 $0 $0 +70%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -80%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 28? Jun 13 $1 +$5 +853%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$106
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 6m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 12m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 13m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 9¢ $3 14m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 19¢ $4 15m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 49m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 51m
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+175.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 651 +227.7% +196.5% 48% 43% -16.7%
≤30d 740 +204.2% +175.2% 49% 45% -13.6%
≤90d 740 +204.2% +175.2% 49% 45% -13.6%
all 740 +204.2% +175.2% 49% 45% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover331.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +175.2% 45% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here +148.9% 40% -21.9%
15% +124.8% 35% -29.5%
20% +102.8% 31% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.75 · official $54.45 · 3500 history records